Thursday, April 29, 2010

Good News, Bad News in Real Estate Now--But Which is Which?

Hi Everyone,

Prices going down, sales going up. What will shift prices upward in the toughest markets?
Good news: Foreign investors with money who will carry the loans for awhile, in residential and commercial, buying up properties.
Good news: US investors w/access to funds who can buy for cash.
Good news: First time buyers get a tax break.
Bad news: More losses to come from folks losing their homes/investment properties.
Bad news: Govt. loan mods -- too few to get excited about.
Bad news: Banks incentivized by the Feds not to lend then punished for not lending. Double bind.
Bad news: Govt. did not focus on jobs first as their top agenda was not to strengthen the economy, thus the jobs situation is much worse than published as sole proprietors who don't pay payroll taxes not counted in the numbers. Just now a few jobs are showing up, but a very long way to go.
Bad news: Tax credit for home buyers who can't participate because they can't sell their existing home fast enough or at a price they can handle to buy a new home before the time is up.
Bad news: Risky exit strategies in tough markets where even rentals are tough to fill.
Bad news: Shadow inventory much larger than most experts think, huge backlog of demand for those who have wanted to sell but not at foreclosure prices thank you very much. There are many like this who have equity and are not underwanter, thus they are not counted in the stats. as there is no way to measure them.
Bad news: Great disagreements about the real risk of commercial, will it be huge downdraft on the economy or not? My best guess: It will be a big deal but absorbed faster and more easily than residential has been.

What do you see where you are?
Hang in there and pay attention to what you have learned from all this and PLEASE REMEMBER YOUR LESSONS when times get easier so as not to repeat the difficulties.

Wishing you all peace and prosperity.

Appreciatively,
Dr. Linne
"Build on Your Best"
Giving you power to predict & profit,
Dr. Linne Bourget M.A. M.B.A. Ph. D
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